452
FNUS73 KMPX 290025
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Lowry WMA Rx Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
725 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
This forecast was submitted with a start time of this morning. So
all the information in the forecast table below is for today. Cool
temperatures and rain chances kept fire weather risks limited
today. Tomorrow will be sunny and warmer, but with continued light
winds, fire weather concerns remain low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 12 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise North winds 12 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /51100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /100400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  62  61  64  64  64  64  63  63  62  60  56
RH..............67  56  56  50  52  46  47  48  49  50  55  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  12  14  17  13  15  14  14  13  12  10  7
20 FT wind gust.17  18  21  22  23  23  23  22  22  20  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.9 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.7 6.3 5.6 5.4 4.8 4.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  20  21  20  18  18  16  16  15  12
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 16 mph shifting to the northeast 7
                    to 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (66100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Carletta
Requested by...Nicholas Snavely
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415241.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nicholas.Snavely@state.mn.us