Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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497 FXUS63 KOAX 212301 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 601 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Areal flooding will still be possible through early evening. River flooding will be possible over the next day or two. - Additional chance of thunderstorms Thursday with a marginal risk of severe storms. - Spotty storm chances Friday, Sunday, and Monday over the Memorial Holiday weekend, but severe storm chances remain low. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 343 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 The severe storm threat has pushed east of our coverage area, thus both the tornado and flood watches have been cancelled. There could be lingering spotty showers in the cyclonic flow behind the system that could linger until about 6 to 7 pm. A couple of areal flood warnings remain in effect through 6 pm for those locations that received 3 to 7 inches of rain earlier today. And river flood warnings will continue for the next couple of days. Wednesday looks like a dry, quiet day thankfully. But there are storm chances back in the forecast for Thursday, with a marginal risk of severe storms Thursday night as another strong front moves into the region, when we will have another marginal risk of excessive heavy rainfall. And then we`ll have spotty storm chances in the Memorial Holiday weekend on Friday, Sunday, and Monday, but nothing looks particularly severe at this time. High temperatures behind the front Friday in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Highs Saturday in the lower 70s, in the mid 70s Sunday, and the lower 70s Monday. Overall, a very comfortable period with no temperature extremes. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
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Issued at 558 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Primary concern with tonight`s TAF issuances is the clearing out of the MVFR cigs over the next couple of hours. Have pushed all three TAF sites just into the VFR category as of 00Z though admittedly it will be close for an hour or so. Otherwise expect strong northwesterly winds to taper around sunset and become westerly and then southwesterly over the course of the next 24 hours.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...DeWald AVIATION...Nicolaisen