Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
299 FNUS22 KWNS 242005 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0304 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook. Critical to Extremely Critical fire weather conditions are still expected on Saturday. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/24/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024/ ...Synopsis... Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds. In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area. Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$