Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
750
FNUS52 KILM 261305
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
905 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue through
Monday with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms. An
approaching cold front will enhance thunderstorm coverage late
Monday into Monday night. Drier and slightly cooler air arrives
later Wednesday as the front finally pushes offshore.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-270515-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
905 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Max/Min Temp          92           69           92
Min/Max RH (%)        54           99           55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         SW  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   S  4         Lgt/Var      SW 10 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    0            1
Precip Begin                       1 AM         8 AM
Precip End                         4 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  71/0800      2000         76/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          3            4            4
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4800                      4700
Transport Wind (mph)  S  8                      SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    38400                     98700
ADI Early             20 Gen Poor  28 Fair      71 Good
ADI Late              37 Fair      6 Very Poor  88 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            6            8
Max LVORI Late        3            8            1
Min VSBY Early        3 Fog        6 Rain       6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            6 Rain       7
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-270515-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
905 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Max/Min Temp          93           70           92
Min/Max RH (%)        47           99           47
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  9 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.02
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Begin                       7 PM         8 AM
Precip End                         3 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  69/0800      2000         74/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5700                      5400
Transport Wind (mph)  SW  7                     SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    39900                     124200
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  74 Good
ADI Late              54 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  97 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            8
Max LVORI Late        2            7            1
Min VSBY Early        1 Fog        7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-270515-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
905 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           20
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Max/Min Temp          92           70           93
Min/Max RH (%)        50           99           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         SW  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  9 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Begin                       8 PM         8 AM
Precip End                         2 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  75/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            4            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5600                      6200
Transport Wind (mph)  SW  8                     SW 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    44800                     136400
ADI Early             19 Gen Poor  39 Fair      82 Good
ADI Late              48 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  124 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            8
Max LVORI Late        2            7            1
Min VSBY Early        1 Fog        7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
82 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-270515-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
905 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Max/Min Temp          92           69           92
Min/Max RH (%)        45           98           46
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  4         SW 10 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.04
Precip Duration                    1            1
Precip Begin                       7 PM         10 AM
Precip End                         1 AM         Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/0900      2000         75/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            4            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6600                      6000
Transport Wind (mph)  SW  8                     SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    52800                     144000
ADI Early             20 Gen Poor  50 Gen Good  88 Good
ADI Late              65 Good      6 Very Poor  111 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            8
Max LVORI Late        1            7            1
Min VSBY Early        2 Fog        7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...RGZ