Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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023
FXUS62 KKEY 060158
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
958 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1000 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Almost a carbon-copy evening compared to yesterday`s for the
Florida Keys. A broken cloud line sputtered along and west of the
Lower Keys, with all associated shower activity remaining
offshore of the island chain. The line quickly fell apart
thereafter, likely owed to the sampled nose of dry air between
950-875 mb in the evening`s 00z sounding at KEY. GOES-16 satellite
nighttime microphysics imagery is detecting mostly clear skies
across the Keys and the adjacent coastal waters, with KBYX void of
meteorological echo returns across the entire CWA.

For the overnight period, the aforementioned dry air should keep
most island communities dry. However, there are still a few ghost
boundaries likely roaming across the coastal waters. Should they
interact, given the relatively uncapped environment owed to very
weak mid- level ridging, isolated brief showers cannot be ruled
out. Temperatures will generally only dip into the lower 80s for
the overnight period, although should winds collapse a bit more
than expected, a few upper 70s to near 80F readings cannot be
ruled out in the favored larger island communities. No changes
proposed for tonight`s evening forecast update cycle.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1000 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect for Florida Keys
coastal waters zones. A weak area of high pressure centered
southwest of Bermuda will slowly slide eastward in the North
Atlantic, resulting in light to gentle east to southeast breezes
through Thursday night. Winds may freshen out of the south late
this weekend into early next week, as pressures fall in the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1000 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024
VFR conditions will prevail at both island terminals through the
TAF period. Any potential rain and thunder coverage in the
vicinity of the terminals will continue be limited to any
residual boundary collisions overnight, but chances are too low
to include mention in the TAFs at this time. Near-surface winds
will remain out of the east to southeast at 8 to 10 knots.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this day in 1985, Key West measured a record high temperature
of 93F. On the same day, Marathon measured a record high
temperature of 96F. Temperature records for Key West and Marathon
date back to 1872 and 1950, respectively.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82  90  82  89 /  20  20  30  30
Marathon  83  90  81  89 /  20  20  30  30

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....BT
Data Acquisition.....DP

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