Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
091 FNUS73 KMPX 291323 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Lowry WMA...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 823 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Full sunshine today with RH values approach 30% this afternoon. Winds will be generally easterly this morning with speeds around 5 mph. A gradual shift to southeasterly winds is expected through the afternoon with speeds increasing closer to 10 mph. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 71. RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /33400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /82700 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............63 66 67 68 69 71 70 70 69 67 63 60 RH..............56 48 47 45 42 39 41 42 44 47 56 62 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..8 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 16 17 18 18 20 20 18 18 20 Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.9 5.9 5.8 4.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE SE SE Transp wind spd.9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 17 14 15 16 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Temperature.........Min 54. RH..................Max 77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (81200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (6100 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 73. RH..................Min 53 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 22 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (85300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 20 to 29 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Ahasic Requested by...Matt Mecklenburg Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415281.0/MPX .DELDT 05/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL matt.mecklenburg@state.mn.us