042
FNUS75 KPUB 251955
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for TA 27 Fire...Fort Carson Fire Department
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
155 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Gusty winds and dry conditions will continue the rest of today
and into the overnight hours tonight. Additionally, a few isolated
showers and storms may be possible over the Pikes Peak Region.
While chances of storms are low at this time, if storms do manage
to move off of the mountains the forecast site could see gusty,
erratic winds up to 45 mph. Otherwise, gusty southwest winds will
continue.

A front comes in later tonight, turning winds to the north-
northwest. Tomorrow, breezy northwest winds will continue across
the area with dry surface conditions and low humidity.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(26 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....75F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 24-28 mph with gusts to
                    around 40 mph.
Mixing height.......10500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 33 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  31  25  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1
Temp............73  72  72  70
RH..............13  15  16  17
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..28  26  26  26
20 FT wind gust.40  40  40  40
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.17  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd gst.24  24  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...13  12  10  9.0
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.36  33  30  35
Haines index....5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000407 328 256 266

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....46F.
Max humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 19-23 mph with gusts to around 36
                    mph until 2400, then around 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 2000, then 500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then very good until
                    2000, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  24  23  24  20  21  13  8   7   10  10  5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  66  62  59  57  56  53  52  50  48  48  48
RH..............19  21  25  29  31  35  41  43  44  46  42  42
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..23  23  23  18  18  18  13  13  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.36  36  36  32  32  32  21  21  21  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.14  14  14  11  11  11  8   8   8   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.22  22  22  19  19  19  13  13  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.32  29  21  18  18  16  13  15  15  16  16  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000187 109 12  12  10  8   6   8   8   9   8   11

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....74F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13-17 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0800, then 11500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Excellent after 0900.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   6   7   7   8   9   10  19  27  36  30  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  52  57  62  64  67  71  73  74  74  74  73
RH..............43  33  25  20  18  16  13  12  12  12  12  13
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  16  16  16  17  17  17  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  24  24  24  25  25  25  24  24  24
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  12  12  14  14  14  15  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.5 3.0 4.5 7.0 9.0 11  12  12  13  12  11
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  16  20  23  22  21  20  20  18  18  17  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10009   21  51  95  132 161 185 194 190 197 170 144

$$
Forecaster...GARBEROGLIO
Requested by...Rowdy Carson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415083.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0