Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
895 FNUS71 KAKQ 220956 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for CSGL Mapleton...NCWRC National Weather Service Wakefield VA 556 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Patchy early morning fog should dissipate by around 8 AM. Otherwise, sunny, dry, and well mixed today with a light SW wind. A cold front approaches from the northwest Thursday afternoon bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms continue Friday and into the weekend as the front stalls over the area. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (45100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........9 7 10 13 17 17 18 18 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............72 76 79 81 83 84 86 85 RH..............76 66 60 54 49 48 43 45 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT wind spd..3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.6 3.5 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.8 9 8 8 7 8 9 9 LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............21 31 38 42 45 51 59 64 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..14 21 26 29 32 35 41 45 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 65. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................3 to 43. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........17 16 15 15 14 14 16 19 21 22 23 24 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............83 82 78 75 73 72 71 70 69 69 68 67 RH..............47 51 60 69 73 79 81 81 84 84 87 90 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 20 FT wind gust.8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.9 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 ADI.............43 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..30 15 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........47 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (83600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 109 in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........25 25 25 28 34 42 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 20 20 Temp............66 70 78 84 86 89 RH..............93 87 67 57 51 47 20 ft wind......S 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 20 ft wind gust.6 8 11 11 12 12 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 2300 4000 5700 5500 Transport wind..S 9 SW 12 SW 12 SW 13 SW 15 SW 17 LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1 ADI.............4 11 33 59 94 109 Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 7 23 43 73 84 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD $$ Forecaster...ZIMMERMAN Requested by...Jennifer Prince Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414707.1/AKQ .DELDT 05/22/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.org