504
FNUS53 KAPX 261842
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...A wet pattern will linger through mid week...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorm chances tonight and into
Monday will be accompanied by widespread wetting rains and cooler
temperatures. Breezy to gusty winds will generally turn northwest
with min humidities well above 50% Monday. Moisture rain chances
will linger through Tuesday as winds remain breezy and from the
northwest. Wednesday winds turn north and gradually diminish as
drier air moves in. Warming trend for the end of the week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (85).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.28 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Numerous rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler...except 21 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (277).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.58 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (178).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.47 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (548).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then scattered rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.40 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (403).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.52 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (234).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.35 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 27 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (967).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Scattered
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.53 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.73 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (106).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.40 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 15 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Numerous rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.20- 0.69 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (423).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
                    18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.67 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (112).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.15 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (962).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
242 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Scattered
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.63 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (542).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.45 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.32 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1214).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD