062
FNUS71 KBGM 191246
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for 300 Forest Unit 6...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
846 AM EDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure on Monday will keep conditions dry and warm with
light south-southwest winds. The next chance for rain will not be
until late Wednesday or Thursday as a frontal boundary pushes
through this could bring thunderstorms.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........48-52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming south 5
                    to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 3 mph late in the morning,
                    then shifting to the southwest 3 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............823 PM
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 19.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  36  33  35  33  31  47  53  50  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  60  64  68  70  71  74  75  75  76
RH..............93  90  81  70  63  63  53  51  50  49
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   2   3   3   3   5   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   6   7   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.2 2.4
Transp wind dir.SW  W   NW  N   NW  SW  S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............4   6   8   11  14  17  18  19  19  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 13.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  35  27  24  21  18  17  16  15  19  22  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  72  69  66  64  62  61  60  60  59  58  58
RH..............55  64  70  78  81  84  87  87  87  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
ADI.............13  8   4   4   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 84 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........24        21        23        30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............58        65        75        80
RH..............93        73        52        44
20 FT wind......SW 8G12   SW 7G10   SW 7G12   SW 7G13
Mix hgt (ft)....100       700       2800      5000
Transport wind..SW 10     W 12      SW 12     SW 14
LVORI...........6         3         1         1
ADI.............8         15        40        79
Haines index....4         4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Murphy
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414640.0/BGM
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov