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FNUS71 KBGM 210911
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for SGL 300- Unit #10...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
511 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Sunny skies are expected with RH values above 40% throughout the day.
Winds generally light southwesterly as well.
Showers and thunderstorm chances increase as the afternoon goes on Wednesday
with higher humidity but slightly stronger winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET.............. 8:20 PM
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 82 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  38  34  30  32  33  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  73  75  77  79  80  80
RH..............59  55  50  47  44  44  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.9 4.5 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  13  13
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............21  38  58  74  82  81  73
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE............. 5:40 AM
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................52 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  38  40  35  31  27  23  18  14  14  14  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............78  76  73  71  69  67  66  65  64  63  63  62
RH..............48  54  59  63  68  73  73  75  78  81  81  84
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  16  16  16  17  17  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  13  13
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............52  26  6   1   4   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1600, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNSET.............. 8:20 PM
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 70 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........14        18        31        42
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............61        68        77        81
RH..............90        70        54        49
20 FT wind......SW 10G16  SW 10G15  SW 10G16  SW 12G16
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    700       3400      6200
Transport wind..SW 13     W 13      SW 12     SW 15
LVORI...........5         3         1         1
ADI.............9         17        40        69
Haines index....4         4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Gaines
Requested by...Pat McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414791.0/BGM
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org