526
FNUS73 KDLH 161125
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Fry...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
625 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on May 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers are likely this morning with coverage and chances
decreasing late this morning into the afternoon. Additional
rainfall will most likely be less than two tenths of an inch.
Gusty southeast winds will occur especially into early afternoon.
The humidity reached its minimum earlier this morning and should
remain much higher for the rest of the day, from 75 to 5 percent.
The wind will become light tonight and the direction will switch
to westerly for a time but then it will become southerly late
Friday morning. Most of Friday will be precipitation free with the
exception of a few showers in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    early in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........47 percent...reached early this morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 mph decreasing to 8 to 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5900-22600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  40  50  50  30  40  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  45  45  45  45  45  45  45  46  47
RH..............82  82  86  86  86  82  86  89  86  83
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   10  10  9   9   9   9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.16  20  21  20  20  19  18  15  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.16  23  22  21  20  18  16  14  12  8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10009   23  22  19  17  16  14  12  10  6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of rain showers early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph early in the evening, then
                    becoming light early in the evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph increasing to 8 to 10 mph
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE               PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............48     47     45     45     43     42
RH..............83     86     96     93     96     96
20 ft wind......S 5    W 3    W 2    W 2    W 2    W 2
20 ft wind gust.11     11     8      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....900    500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 6   W 9    W 9    W 9    W 9    W 10
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10005      4      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to
                    14 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2500-17400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (25300-34100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        20
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............43        54        64        67
RH..............93        77        58        52
20 FT wind......W 2G6     SW 2G8    S 6G13    S 7G16
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1000      2800      3200
Transport wind..W 9       W 8       SW 10     S 13
Haines index....4         4         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/10003         7         25        34

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Ryan Kingsley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414308.1/DLH
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov