668
FNUS75 KGJT 221526
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Farmers Canyon RX...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
926 AM MDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds strengthen and become gusty out of the southwest on Thursday
out ahead of a strong cold front. Gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be
common Thursday afternoon. The cold front moves through late in the
afternoon (between 1600 and 1800) and switches winds to the northwest.
Other than perhaps a very low chance of a spotty shower, the front is
expected to move though dry. More tranquil weather returns on Friday.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........15-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts of
                    30 to 40 mph during the afternoon. Southwest
                    winds shift northwest between 1600 and 1800.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent by 1100.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8800 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....West 35 mph.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....30-35.
Max humidity........40-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph early, decreasing to light
                    downslope/downvalley around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 mph decreasing to 10 mph
                    overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........15-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light downslope/downvalley winds around 5 mph
                    until 1100, then becoming southwest and
                    increasing to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to very good if not excellent by
                    1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8800 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Mark Miller
Requested by...Jacob Pollert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414178.1/GJT
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jpollert@blm.gov