Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
538
FNUS52 KILM 020652
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to push further offshore, keeping a
mostly dry forecast today. Slight chance of afternoon showers and
storms Monday and Tuesday. These chances get better Wednesday
through Friday, with warmer air and moisture returning.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-022300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 84 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 47 92 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 69600
ADI Early 61 Good 65 Good 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 78 Good 6 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-022300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 85 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 43 94 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 10 PM 11 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 5700
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92300 68400
ADI Early 65 Good 61 Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 93 Good 5 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
thunderstorms 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-022300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 85 66 86
Min/Max RH (%) 42 91 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 5400
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98000 70200
ADI Early 64 Good 59 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 84 Good 10 Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-022300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 84 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 49 91 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 58000
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 63 Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-022300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 84 64 86
Min/Max RH (%) 44 91 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81600 52200
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 63 Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-022300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
252 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 40
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 84 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 46 92 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 11 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 2000 69/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91000 70200
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 68 Good 8 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman