558
FXUS63 KIWX 060651
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
251 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High waves and rip currents are expected at Berrien county
  beaches today and Friday.

- Breezy today with westerly wind gusts of 30 mph.

- Below normal temperatures through the weekend followed by a
  warming trend for the middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 246 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Notably cooler and less humid early this morning in the wake
yesterday`s late-day cold front. Showers are ongoing across
central Michigan, on the nose of a screaming 90 knot jet at
500mb, attempting to extend southwest through central Illinois.
However, water vapor depicts very little moisture transport thus
the radar returns over Illinois are poor. Therefore, I have
notably reduced the extend of POPs early this morning.

Breezy but dry this afternoon with highs on either side of 75. An
increasing pressure gradient as high pressure becomes established
over the Central Plains, paired with well-mixed forecast soundings,
will permit westerly wind gusts of 30 mph. As a result, high waves
and rip currents are anticipated at eastern Lake Michigan beaches.
Breezy on Friday as well with slightly cooler temperatures,
thanks to continued cold air advection aloft.

An upper-level low lingers over the eastern Great Lakes through the
weekend. The next chance of rain showers is late Saturday afternoon
and again on Sunday as strong impulses ripple through cyclonic flow
aloft. This low is perhaps kicked eastward by Tuesday as a dominant
Southwest-US ridge (various heat headlines currently in effect
there) drifts into the Midwest allowing our temperatures to warm
closer to normal (near 80).

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1220 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

VFR through the period. A secondary front will drop through
northern IN early this morning with an increase in mid clouds
and perhaps a stray sprinkle/shower. Post-frontal wnw winds
pick up otherwise late morning into Thursday afternoon with
frequent gusts to near 25 knots anticipated.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...Beach Hazards Statement from 11 AM EDT this morning through
     Friday afternoon for MIZ177-277.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT
     Friday for LMZ043.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT
     Friday for LMZ046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Brown
AVIATION...Steinwedel