Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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026
FNUS72 KJAX 220133
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Paynes Prairie 43 terr burn...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
933 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 EDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Early morning fog developments are possible on Wednesday with
easterly winds building in the afternoon. Surface level winds will
build to be about 10-15 mph and then becoming more mild after
sunset. Conditions will be too dry to anticipate rain but minRH
values will remain above critical levels.


.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  14  14  15  15  17  22  27
Weather cov.....                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  72  71  69  68  67  66  66
RH..............84  90  93  100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..74  72  71  69  68  67  66  66
Wind chill (F)..74  72  71  69  68  67  66  66
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   7   6   6   6   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  10  9   8   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........5   6   6   9   9   9   9   8

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  32  29  23  12  11  16  22  23  19  21  31
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  67  69  71  77  81  83  85  88  89  89  90
RH..............100 97  100 100 85  72  65  61  52  50  48  49
Heat index (F)..66  67  69  71  77  85  87  90  92  93  92  94
Wind chill (F)..66  67  69  71  77  81  83  85  88  89  89  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.7 2.7 3.6 4.6 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   7
Dispersion idx..3   3   8   18  29  38  44  48  48  45  41  45
LVORI...........9   8   8   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........32  26  23  17  15  13  13  13  13  14  15  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  86  83  80  78  75  73  72  70  69  69  68
RH..............52  55  61  67  71  79  84  84  90  93  93  97
Heat index (F)..92  89  86  83  78  75  73  72  70  69  69  68
Wind chill (F)..88  86  83  80  78  75  73  72  70  69  69  68
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  13  13  10  10  9   9   7   7   6   6   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.5 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  13  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   7
Dispersion idx..42  34  7   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   7   6   7

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  10  7   6   6   5   7   10  13  16  18  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  69  70  74  79  83  85  88  90  91  91  92
RH..............93  97  93  84  74  67  61  55  50  49  47  46
Heat index (F)..69  69  70  74  79  88  90  93  95  96  95  96
Wind chill (F)..69  69  70  74  79  83  85  88  90  91  91  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.3 4.4 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
Dispersion idx..3   3   10  15  18  20  23  27  31  32  35  39
LVORI...........7   7   6   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Corless
Requested by...Park Manager
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414874.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.patton@dep.state.fl.us