793
FNUS74 KMOB 201814
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 447 448...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
114 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1259 CDT on May 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southeast to east surface and transport winds are
expected into Tuesday night. No precipitation is expected. Minimum
daytime relative humidity values are expected to remain above
critical values.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy overnight fog development
is likely tonight, then again late Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning over the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1981-2164 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 1 to 2 meters/second.
Dispersion index....30-34.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  12  17  23  28  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............89  90  91  91  91  91
RH..............41  41  40  41  41  42
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 6.9 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.8
Mix hgt (km)....2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.ESE ESE E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   5   5
Trans wind dir..ESE ESE E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   1   1   2   2
Dispersion idx..33  32  28  30  30  30
LVORI...........1   1   2   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-2073 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast 7
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds m/s.East around 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 4 meters/second in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....30 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  33  31  29  27  19  12  4   6   8   10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............90  86  81  79  76  73  73  71  70  68  66  66
RH..............44  51  60  67  74  81  81  87  90  93  100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   ESE SSE S   SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....2.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   ESE SE  SSE S   SSE S   SSE SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   8   7   7
Trans wind dir..E   E   ESE SE  SSE S   SSE S   SSE SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   4   3   3
Dispersion idx..30  2   3   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   8   9   9   9

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 64 late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 52.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  7   4   1   4   6   9   10  10  11  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  67  70  75  81  83  86  87  88  89  89  88
RH..............100 100 90  74  60  55  46  43  42  42  42  45
20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.9 5.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   10  10  10  9   8   7   7   7
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   7   10  21  42  54  60  63  59  54  52  52
LVORI...........9   8   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414737.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rodney.landrum@usda.gov