063
FNUS73 KMQT 300906
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Volker Plains Opening RX...MI-DNR
National Weather Service Marquette MI
506 AM EDT Thu May 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and warm conditions are expected today, with highs climbing to
near 70 and RH values dipping to near 25%. Southerly winds are
expected to be light and less than 10 mph today; however model
soundings suggest that late this afternoon and early evening,
the tail end of daytime mixing may support wind gusts increasing to
15 mph at times.

Tonight, good RH recoveries are expected under an inversion.
Southerly winds as continue as a more moist airmass begins building
into the region for Friday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................33 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 36 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Winds south at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 5 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3600-5500
                    ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (71) at ignition. Max...good (528.0).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......24.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   2   1   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  64  67  68  68  68  70
Dewpoint........31  32  32  32  33  34  36
RH..............33  29  27  26  27  28  28
33 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
33 ft wind spd..5   7   7   7   9   9   9
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..4   6   6   6   7   7   7
Wind gust.......5   8   8   8   10  10  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.3
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   4   4
VIndx kt-ft/100.7   13  25  32  38  49  53
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  24  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Dewpoint............39 increasing to 41 overnight.
33-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4100-5100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair to excellent (192.0-620.0) decreasing to
                    poor (0.0) late in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......23.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   5   8   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  68  65  60  56  53  51  48  47  46  45  45
Dewpoint........37  39  40  40  41  41  41  41  42  41  41  41
RH..............30  34  40  47  55  63  68  76  81  83  86  86
33 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
33 ft wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Wind gust.......17  15  16  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 4.8 4.1 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VIndx kt-ft/100.56  62  57  39  19  4   0   1   5   5   6   6
Ceiling (kft)...24  24  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23  23

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 41 percent.
Dewpoint............42 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1300 ft AGL increasing to 4300-4700 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (27.0-474.0) increasing to
                    excellent (677.0) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......23 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........14     20     30     40     50     57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............45     51     60     67     70     70
Dewpoint........41     40     42     44     46     47
RH..............84     67     51     44     41     44
33 ft wind......SW 9   SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 10
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 7   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 8
Wind gust.......11     11     13     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....200    300    1300   2900   4400   4600
Haines index....4      4      3      2      3      3
VIndx kt-ft/100.4      6      32     68     102    92
Ceiling (kft)...23

$$
Forecaster...JTP
Requested by...Peter Glover
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415277.1/MQT
.DELDT 05/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gloverp@michigan.gov