Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 302339
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Spot Forecast for Laughlin Gulch RX...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
539 PM MDT Thu May 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will be the main concern on Friday
afternoon.  Gusty outflow winds to near 40 mph and cloud to
ground lightning will be the main concerns.  The timing will
be from noon through 5 PM.  Activity should dissipate during
the evening.  Drier conditions are expected on Saturday, however,
a few showers and thunderstorms may be possible in the afternoon
and early evening.  Lightning and gusty outflow winds near 30 mph
are possible.  Smoke dispersions will fall off to poor overnight,
becoming very good Friday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(69 percent) until 2000, then
                    partly cloudy(27 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....36-41F.
Max humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 12 mph until 2400, then
                    weakening to 4 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then fair until 2000, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  63  43  40  20  14  13  11  20  13  30  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  61  58  53  50  47  46  44  43  41  41  39
RH..............24  27  32  39  42  44  44  43  44  45  46  50
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  14  14  14  10  10  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  14  12  10  9   10  10  10  9   7   7   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100079  52  8   6   6   7   6   6   5   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny until 1200, then partly sunny(70
                    percent). Slight chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200 until 1700.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....69F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........west winds 4 to 8 mph until 1200, then west
                    10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200 until 1700.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0900. 9500 ft agl after 1000.
Transport winds.....West around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Very good after 1100.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   11  9   15  40  56  58  54  62  62  82
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   1
Temp............38  42  50  58  62  65  68  68  69  68  68  67
RH..............51  49  38  29  25  20  18  17  17  17  18  19
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   10  10  10  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   15  15  15  18  18  18  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 4.5 8.5 11  12  12  12  12  9.0 8.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   9   16  20  20  18  17  20  20  18
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   10  36  118 181 194 186 174 182 153 129

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60 percent) until 2000, then
                    partly cloudy(35 percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....36-41F.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 13 mph until 2400, then
                    west 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft agl until 1900, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900. Poor after 0500.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  54  45  36  37  38  38  33  28  23  22  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  62  57  54  51  49  47  45  44  42  40  39
RH..............21  24  30  35  39  41  44  47  50  53  57  62
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  12  12  12  8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...8.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  16  13  9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/1000131 37  10  6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(45 percent).  Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 through 1700.
Max temperature.....70F.
Min humidity........16-21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest near 5 mph until 1200, then west around 10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph until 1400, then west
                    around 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  20  20  20  34  47  60  63  64  67  64  61
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............40  45  53  60  65  68  69  69  69  69  70  70
RH..............60  50  39  31  26  22  20  21  22  21  21  21
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 5.5 8.0 11  9.5 8.5 7.0 6.5 5.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   8   12  14  17  17  16  16  16  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10003   7   11  18  50  95  157 141 116 101 90  79

$$
Forecaster...MOZLEY
Requested by...Joshua Jordan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415299.2/PUB
.DELDT 05/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0