311
FXUS65 KTWC 220934
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
234 AM MST Wed May 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times
this week. Temperatures will remain near or slightly above average
for late May. A ridge of high pressure should bring hotter
temperatures early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...We`ll continue to see a broad zonal to southwesterly
flow at the base of a large scale mean trough position through
western states as a series of impulses pass to our north. With
high pressure over much of Mexico, the resulting gradient between
these features will bring us breezy afternoons into the weekend.

Ensemble means continue to advertise positive height anomalies
early next week as Tucson makes another run at it`s first 100
degree day around Tuesday or so. Seasonably dry until further
notice.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 23/12Z.
SKC. WLY SFC winds less than 18 kts in the afternoons with gusts
up to 25 kts. Then light and variable overnight and early morning.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times
into this coming weekend. Minimum RH values bottoming out in the
single digits in valleys with poor to fair overnight recoveries.
Temperatures near typical values for late May, with hotter
afternoons possible early next week.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$


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