Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
395 FNUS73 KDLH 051059 FWSDLH Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM National Weather Service Duluth MN 559 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on June 05. If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653. .DISCUSSION... Search site and General Ely Forecast - Clouds are expected to move off to the east pretty quickly this morning, leading to a several hour period of mostly sunny skies. Then, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon. Exact timing will be tricky due to the scattered and on-and-off nature of these storms, but a few showers could start to develop around noon, then a better chance for storms starting around 1 to 2 PM. From then through 9 or 10 PM, expect on-and-off showers and storms mixed with periods of sunshine in the middle. While most of these storms are not expected to be severe, there is a very slight chance that there could be a strong storm or two capable of wind gusts to around 50 mph and hail to nickel size. Passing showers and storms will likely cause gusty and erratic winds at times. Otherwise, breezy southwest to west winds are expected today. There may be a brief break from rain tonight, but additional scattered light rain showers are expected to redevelop later tonight and persist into Thursday. Gusty northwest winds are expected to persist through Thursday. Ely Visibility and Ceilings - VFR conditions are expected through this morning. VFR ceilings are largely expected through the afternoon and evening before low stratus clouds develop gradually tonight, leading to MVFR and eventually IFR ceilings by Thursday morning. It is possible that, with passing showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, there could be brief ceiling reductions to MVFR. More likely will be that visibilities drop briefly to MVFR/IFR this afternoon in passing showers and storms. Visibility is generally expected to remain VFR tonight, though a very brief reduction to MVFR in a passing shower can`t be ruled out. To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call 1-800-992-7433 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Chance of thunder...29 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........46 percent. Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Ceiling (kft).......7.6 increasing to 16 early in the morning, then increasing to 22 early in the morning increasing to 23 late in the morning decreasing to 9.0 decreasing to 5.9 late in the afternoon. Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 6 late in the afternoon, then increasing to 10 late in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......CDY PC MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 50 50 60 50 Chc of thdr (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 Temp............55 57 58 61 66 69 71 71 71 69 68 68 RH..............93 90 86 78 63 57 49 47 46 51 52 52 Surface wnd dir.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W Surface wnd spd.2 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 11 10 10 Surface wnd gst.9 9 13 15 17 20 21 22 23 23 23 22 Ceiling (kft)...7.6 16 22 23 25 23 10 10 9.8 9.2 9.0 5.9 Visibility (sm).9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 10 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain showers through the night. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Chance of thunder...33 percent. Min temperature.....Around 49. Max humidity........93 percent. Surface winds (mph).West winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the evening then 21 mph after 3 am. Ceiling (kft).......8.7 increasing to 9.8 late in the evening, then decreasing to 6.3 late in the evening decreasing to 3.9 overnight decreasing to 2.6 decreasing to 1.5 after 3 am. Visibility (sm).....10. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).50 20 10 20 20 40 Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 Temp............65 62 57 55 54 51 RH..............56 65 75 80 83 89 Surface wind....W 9 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 8 W 9 Surface wnd gst.20 16 15 16 18 20 Ceiling (kft)...8.7 9.0 9.8 6.8 2.8 1.8 Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Chance of thunder...16 percent. Max temperature.....Around 56. Min humidity........57 percent. Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Ceiling (kft).......1.0 decreasing to 0.9 late in the morning, then increasing to 1.1 late in the morning increasing to 1.8 early in the afternoon increasing to 2.5. Visibility (sm).....9. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky cover.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 50 50 Chc of thdr (%).20 10 10 10 Temp............49 52 54 54 RH..............93 80 66 64 Surface wind....W 10G21 W 12G24 W 13G26 NW 13G26 Ceiling (kft)...1.3 0.9 1.3 2.2 Visibility (sm).10 9 10 10 $$ Forecaster...Josh Requested by...Alex Rice Type of request...SAR .TAG 2414880.13/DLH .DELDT 06/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL 7111@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,7101@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us