Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
034 FNUS21 KWNS 271657 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 271700Z - 281200Z Only minor edits were made to expand the Elevated further northward in south-central New Mexico in alignment with latest trends in guidance. Otherwise, the D1 Fire Weather Outlook remains on track. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon across parts of southern New Mexico and far West Texas. Latest fuel analyses show that the driest fuels reside over southeast NM into far West TX where multiple days of very dry conditions (single-digit RH minimums) have allowed for substantial curing of 10 and 100-hour fuels. Despite the favorable fuel conditions, upper-level ridging combined with weakening mid-level flow will yield weaker surface winds compared to previous days. Westerly winds are forecast to generally reach 10-15 mph for most locations, but a swath of southern NM/far West TX should see a few hours of winds closer to 15 mph (occasionally gusting to near 20 mph) that will support elevated fire weather conditions given forecast afternoon RH minimums between 5-15%. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$