Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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059 ACUS11 KWNS 050756 SWOMCD SPC MCD 050755 LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-050930- Mesoscale Discussion 1172 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0255 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024 Areas affected...parts of east TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 050755Z - 050930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated, marginally severe wind gusts embedded within a broader swath of primarily strong gusts may persist through dawn as an MCS moves southeastward across parts of east Texas. DISCUSSION...An increasingly ragged QLCS has been progressing steadily southeast across the Red River and northeast TX. Sub-severe but strong gusts have been common along the outflow. A couple marginally severe gusts of 57 and 60 mph have been measured during the past hour or so with multiple deeper convective cores on the western arc of the MCS across far south-central OK into north-central TX. This process of regenerative convection on the backside of the MCS/post-outflow may persist owing to the plumes of large buoyancy over central TX and steep mid-level lapse rates to the west-northwest. These cells may continue to produce strong to localized severe gusts in a sporadic fashion, before weakening as they shift deeper into the remnant stratiform from the leading line. ..Grams/Thompson.. 06/05/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 34179708 33939680 33259600 33179557 33309493 33489447 33229404 32699401 32339400 31689452 31359553 31449603 31629683 32859750 33259755 33899765 34089767 34179708