052
FNUS73 KABR 220805
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Adam-Giener RX...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
305 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and erratic winds this morning are possible, but are
primarily north-northwesterly. These will gradually become
predominantly west-southwesterly through the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......600-8200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (97800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (119200
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  9   9   8   7   16  24  33  35  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  52  57  60  63  65  67  68  68  69
RH..............71  63  57  49  43  40  39  36  36  35
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.9 4.3 6.1 7.5 8.2 8.2 7.8 7.6
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    east 8 to 10 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400-6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast
                    14 to 15 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (83900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39  38  36  35  41  47  53  56  60  63  61  59
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............68  68  66  58  55  54  53  52  51  50  50  49
RH..............36  37  43  57  64  69  71  74  77  83  86  89
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  10  8   7   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  15  13  12  12  13  13  15  15  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 5.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Smoke Dispersal.GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of rain showers early in the afternoon,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 41 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 13 to 22 mph increasing to around 23
                    mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 23 mph increasing to around 24 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (83000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or (low) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  44  40  44  30  34  45  56  62  67  73  70
Weather cov.....SCH                         SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50
Temp............48  48  52  56  61  63  65  67  69  70  70  69
RH..............89  89  83  74  65  62  58  54  53  51  53  55
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..13  14  15  16  18  20  20  22  22  23  23  23
20 FT wind gust.20  20  22  23  24  25  25  28  28  29  29  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.2 3.6
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...Connelly
Requested by...Todd Ruzicka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414875.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL todd_ruzicka@fws.gov