848
FNUS53 KAPX 301917
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

...Precipitation free chances continue this Friday along with low
RH`s...

.DISCUSSION... Clear skies and precipitation free weather will
continue through Friday and most of Saturday. Most interior
locations east of I-75 will see RH`s below 25 percent with light
southwest winds. A few showers remain possible Saturday evening,
especially near the Bridge, but only little measurable precipitation
is expected.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-310815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (535).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (606).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-310815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (522).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (565).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-310815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (551).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (473).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-310815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Patchy frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 34-39 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (634).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent drier...except 25 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (366).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-310815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
317 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost until 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (621).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (560).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.23 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SJC