061
FXXX01 KWNP 231606
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 May 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to
22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
22/0404Z from Region 3683 (S23W95). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(23 May, 24 May, 25 May).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 428 km/s at 22/0319Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
22/1840Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
22/0020Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 267 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (23 May, 25
May) and unsettled to active levels on day two (24 May). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one and two (23 May, 24 May)
and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (25 May).