904
FNUS53 KDTX 262001
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
401 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...A band of showers and thunderstorms lifts into SE MI
between 5 PM and 10 PM this evening, followed by scattered and
elevated convection overnight through Monday morning. Drier
conditions arrive mid-day Monday as a cold front slides across the
region, but broad troughing aloft maintains unsettled conditions
through mid-week. Southwest winds today become northwest by Monday
following the cold front, with wind speeds around 15 mph and gusts
up to 30 mph in the Thumb.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-262130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
401 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers until
                    2 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (38).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2680-3180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west 25
                    to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (732).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (73).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm, then showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7090-7590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph becoming northwest around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1830).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-262130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
401 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2 am. Rain showers likely. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (33).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 am, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2970-3470 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (777).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1220-1420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (149).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm, then showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6060-6560 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1694).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-262130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
401 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 11 pm. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......530-730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3590-4090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (961).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......950-1150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (53).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6930-7430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1806).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s.

$$

MV