299
FNUS22 KWNS 242005
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0304 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST REGION...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

No changes are needed to the current D2 Fire Weather Outlook.
Critical to Extremely Critical fire weather conditions are still
expected on Saturday. See previous discussion for more information.

..Thornton.. 05/24/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024/

...Synopsis...
Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the
base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern
Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central
High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this
dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum
transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will
yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds.
In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine
with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area.
Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in
the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National
Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC
continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$