679
FXUS65 KFGZ 280538
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1038 PM MST Mon May 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...A dry pattern, featuring warm daytime temperatures and
daily southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph, will continue all week.

&&

.UPDATE...It was a warm afternoon across the region with numerous
locations recording their warmest temperatures so far this year.
Prescott reached 84 degrees, Winslow 91, Page 92, and Flagstaff
hit 76. Tuesday looks to be a degree or two warmer still. No big
changes expected any time soon. Forecasts are in good shape with
no updates needed this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /425 PM MST/...A weak ridge of high pressure is
beginning to build over the Great Basin and 4 Corners regions this
afternoon. This is the beginning of a prolonged dry and quiet
weather period for northern Arizona. It`s been quite some time
since we`ve seen such a quiet period.

The ridge will gradually build and slide eastward toward the
plains states over the coming days while a dry and generally zonal
flow continues over Arizona. The pattern remains more active to
our north with a couple more trough passages forecast later in the
week, having little impact on northern Arizona other than
fluctuating wind directions. Expect typical light breezes each day
to around 20 mph with a few gusts to 25-30 mph Wednesday.
Temperatures will be on the rise through the week with Flagstaff
nearing our first 80 degrees and the Verde Valley nearing the
first triple digit readings.

No significant changes are in the forecast through early next
week. An even stronger high pressure ridge is looking likely by
this time next week, meaning even warmer temperatures for early
June.

&&

.AVIATION...Tuesday 28/06Z through Wednesday 29/06Z...VFR conditions
with a few mid and high clouds. Light and variable wind overnight,
becoming southwest 10-15 kts, gusting up to 20 kts after 17Z.
Winds become light and variable again after 02-03Z.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 29/06Z through Friday 31/06Z...Similar weather
the next few days as VFR conditions persist. SW breezes 10-15 kts
with gusts 20-25 kts each afternoon. Light, variable surface
winds return overnight.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Tuesday...Dry conditions with warming
temperatures. Southwest winds 5-15 mph each day. Minimum
afternoon RH 5-15% with overnight recoveries around 25-45%.

Wednesday through Friday...Warm and dry weather continues. Winds
out of the southwest at 5-15 mph each day. Minimum afternoon RH
5-15% with overnight recoveries around 20-40%.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...JJ/MCT
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...Mazon

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff