265
FNUS74 KFWD 302109
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for McLennan 1644...tfs
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
409 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Showers are ongoing at this time with a cluster of storms expected
to arrive within 20 minutes. Heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds
are currently in place. Winds will become erratic as this storm
moves through. After the storm passes, northeasterly winds will
become easterly followed by a return to southeasterly tonight.

Another cluster of storms will be possible tonight, once again
renewing the threat for heavy rain. The next round arrives shortly
after midnight.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........43
Weather cov.....LKY
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........LKY
Temp............84
RH..............77
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..12
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.15
Haines index....3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely in the evening. Showers likely through
                    the night. Thunderstorms likely overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight, then shifting to the east around 14
                    mph after 3 am shifting to the southeast around
                    16 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  46  53  46  54  61  78  82  86  87  92  89
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Temp............83  80  78  76  75  75  74  74  73  72  71  70
RH..............77  82  88  94  97  94  100 100 100 97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   E   SE
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  15  16  16  18  17  15  18  14  16
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 9 mph early in the afternoon,
                    then shifting to the east late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph increasing to 10 to 15
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  88  67  61  59  55  52  59  63  63  52  48
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............70  70  69  70  73  75  77  79  80  81  82  81
RH..............97  97  100 100 93  90  87  82  82  79  77  79
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  9   10  9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.    16  16  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.14  9   14  15  10  13  13  14  14  15  13  14
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Hernandez
Requested by...Seth Graham
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415370.0/FWD
.DELDT 05/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu