Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
518
FNUS52 KILM 060754
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
354 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorms are expected today ahead of a cold
front, which will move off the coast tonight. Dry weather and
seasonable temperatures are expected for the weekend, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms returning early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-070000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
354 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 90 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 55 97 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G20 W 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G21 SW 6 G18 W 7
Precip Amount 0.03 0.12 0.04
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 7500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86000 135000
ADI Early 68 Good 42 Gen Good 72 Good
ADI Late 67 Good 15 Gen Poor 135 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-070000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
354 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 4 1
Max/Min Temp 92 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G18 SW 6 G18 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G20 SW 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.03 0.15 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 7200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107100 144000
ADI Early 70 Good 49 Gen Good 72 Good
ADI Late 83 Good 10 Poor 140 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-070000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
354 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 91 70 91
Min/Max RH (%) 52 99 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 6 G19 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G20 SW 5 W 7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 7500
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95400 127500
ADI Early 70 Good 54 Gen Good 67 Good
ADI Late 85 Good 11 Poor 128 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-070000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
354 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 92 69 90
Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 G17 W 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 SW 4 W 7
Precip Amount 0.04 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 7300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 119600 131400
ADI Early 74 Good 85 Good 71 Good
ADI Late 100 Good 10 Poor 139 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21