Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 191316
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Baraboo-Cascade Mountain...USFWS
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
816 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 19.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A weak ridge of high pressure will move east
across southern Wisconsin today. The winds will be lighter than past
days but temperatures will still be mild. Very low afternoon
relative humidity is expected. Southerly winds will then develop
tonight and continue into Saturday with breezy conditions developing.
This will maintain warm temperatures with increasing humidity.
A cold front will then pass late Saturday night and Sunday with showers
and isolated thunderstorms forecast.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........53 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................41 percent at ignition...Min 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 200-1900 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2600-3300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 1300 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /25300 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  27  26  27  27  23  17  12  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  57  61  64  67  69  70  70  68
RH..............41  35  31  27  24  22  22  22  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.6 1.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   9   10  9   8   9   10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10001   4   12  20  25  23  18  18  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  59  56  55  54  53  52  51  50  49  49  49
RH..............32  42  47  51  52  57  59  63  68  72  77  80
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...PC
Requested by...Derek Casbon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717539.0/MKX
.EMAIL derek_casbon@fws.gov



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