533
FNUS75 KTFX 021447
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Two Calf Rx...BLM
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
847 AM MDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on June 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

West to northwesterly breezes are expected this afternoon under
partly to mostly sunny skies. Clouds increase once again this
evening with scattered light rain showers expected during the
overnight hours. Then a Pacific cold front sweeps through the
region Monday afternoon, bringing additional showers and a few
isolated thunderstorms. Westerly winds markedly increase Monday
night into Tuesday when wind gusts over 40 mph will become common.


.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-40 percent). Increasing clouds
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....72-77.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West to northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with
                    gusts 20 to 25 mph
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers through the night.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....55-60.
Max humidity........58-63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Haines Index........

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the afternoon, with a slight chance for
                    isolated thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....73-78.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusty winds possible near
                    showers or storms.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Greely
Requested by...Case Parker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415494.0/TFX
.DELDT 06/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Cparker@blm.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov