Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
194
FNAK51 PAFC 140028 AAA
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to build over the area. Temperatures
will trend slightly warmer and drier through Thursday. Showers are
developing this afternoon with taller cumulus development. A
lightning strike or two cannot be ruled out for showers that
develop over the Susitna Valley and northwestern Kenai Peninsula
through this evening. Weak east to west motion could move showers
in that direction, but flow will continue to weak tonight where
shower development will become more stationary. Showers could
return during the daytime for Tuesday, though there is less
probability of thunderstorms.
AKZ101-141615-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+2) 53 (+3) 34 44-53
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+4) 43-61 (+9) 87 38-52
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-5 W 1-5 LGT/VAR W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4376 4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 S 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25624 38570
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+5) 59 (+3) 39 57
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (0) 42-48 (+2) 90 40-49
20FTWND(MPH) S 1-5 W 3-6 SW 1-5 W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4873 4206
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24452 31536
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-141615-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+2) 44-51 (+2) 33 43-51
RH % (24H TREND) 87-93 (+2) 44-61 (+4) 84-90 39-56
20FTWND(MPH) NW 0-5 LGT/VAR SW 1-5 W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4758 5673
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25308 39960
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (+5) 59 (+2) 38 58
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (0) 45 (+1) 90 43
20FTWND(MPH) S 1-6 SW 2-5 SW 0-6 SW 4-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5435 6042
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 S 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39453 59092
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-141615-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (0) 51-58 (+2) 36 49-58
RH % (24H TREND) 85-91 (0) 40-51 (+2) 84-90 40-48
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-6 NW 1-5 S 1-6 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5515 5327
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 S 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29706 44937
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (+2) 50-56 (+1) 38 55
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (0) 42-54 (-2) 92 48-56
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-7 W 2-7 SW 3-8 SW 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5206 4269
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25088 32016
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...A few lightning strikes are possible in the evening,
but will move inland by the tonight period.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-141615-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-1) 41-52 (+2) 33 41-52
RH % (24H TREND) 84-93 (0) 49-67 (-5) 83-93 42-61
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3959 4176
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 SE 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24474 39320
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30-36 (-1) 41-49 (+2) 36 42-50
RH % (24H TREND) 84-94 (0) 56-73 (-8) 87-95 57-74
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-12 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2211 2411
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 S 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 15056 19288
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-141615-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 60 60 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 20-28 (+2) 32-46 (+2) 21-29 33-48
RH % (24H TREND) 78-88 (0) 45-67 (+5) 81-91 37-63
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-8 NW 1-5 W 1-5 W 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5483 6901
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36131 60930
CWR 0 20 10 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 40 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+2) 55 (+1) 33 60
RH % (24H TREND) 78-89 (+6) 37 (+4) 82-91 28-34
20FTWND(MPH) NW 2-7 W 0-5 W 1-6 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6178 7511
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 S 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35228 60970
CWR 0 10 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-141615-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
428 PM AKDT Mon May 13 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+1) 42-51 (+2) 33 43-52
RH % (24H TREND) 75-85 (-10) 40-56 (-2) 84 39-54
20FTWND(MPH) W 0-6 LGT/VAR SW 1-5 SW 5-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4727 6151
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22902 61831
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 60 (+3) 36 58
RH % (24H TREND) 79-89 (-8) 35-42 (-1) 87 31-41
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-5 LGT/VAR S 1-6 S 6-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6389 6987
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 3 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25641 77544
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...Copper River Valley RH could lower into the mid 20 percent
range, with southerly flow for Thursday. Temperatures
through the valley will likely reach the 60s.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$