Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FXUS63 KABR 210158 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
858 PM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016

Issued at 858 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016

Low clouds moving out of eastern SD this evening leaving mostly
clear skies for the rest of the night. Current forecast looks

UPDATE Issued at 653 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016

00z aviation discussion updated below.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 214 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016

A persistent stratus shield over the area this afternoon will
continue to shift east and erode this evening. As skies clear,
temperatures will fall quickly into the low to mid 30s.

Ridging will begin to build in on Friday bringing warmer
temperatures for the start of the weekend. Saturday will be the
warmest day of the period as a dry front moves through the region.
Winds will become breezy causing some good mixing. Highs will top
out in the 60s to lower 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016

Ridging aloft will dominate the region through the weekend and into
early next week. The ridge will keep the region dry and mild for
this time of year with highs generally in the upper 50s, to the mid
60s. The ridge will break down by Monday night as a west coast
trough sends shortwaves into the region. These shortwaves will bring
chances for pcpn to the CWA, mainly Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday. While there maybe enough instability around for
thunderstorms, will keep the forecast simple and mention showers for


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 653 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016

Other than a short time period of MVFR ceilings at ATY this evening,
VFR conditions are expected at all locations through tonight and




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