Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FXUS63 KABR 171747

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1147 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Issued at 1128 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

No major changes to the short term forecast and the potential for
record temperatures.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 312 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

An upper level dome of warm air will push east of the region today
as an upper level trough and surface low crosses Saskatchewan and
into Manitoba. With northwesterly mixing winds, highs will once
again reach the mid to upper 50s. Some locations will even see 60s
this afternoon. Aberdeen, Watertown, and Sisseton will see record to
near record highs today. A surface high pressure will cross the
region Friday night through Saturday. While temperatures will
"cool off" some, they will still range well above normal. WAA will
develop on the backside of the surface high Saturday afternoon
through Sunday. The WAA will produce lows in the 30s for Saturday
night and highs in the 50s and 60s on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

The start of the work week will see well above average temperatures
continue. A low pressure system will move through South Dakota on
Monday, but all precip is expected to be rain. As the area dries out
on Tuesday and heights rise aloft, expect highs to pop into the 50s
and 60s in snow free locales. Spring like conditions will persist
through Wednesday. All models are suggesting an abrupt return to
winter by the end of the week as an intense low moves into the
Plains. It`s still a little early to provide details with any amount
of confidence, but it does appear that snow will be possible by
Friday as highs fall back into the 20s and 30s.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

VFR conditions are expected for all terminals. Visby may drop to
MVFR for portions of the morning at KABR/KATY due to fog, but
confidence is low.




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