Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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412
FXUS63 KBIS 281153
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
653 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 647 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Trimmed the fog area and the advisory across the far north and the
south central based on current observations. Mid clouds have been
expanding across the southwest and south central and this has
dissipated the fog across the south.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Dense fog remains across much of northwestern and central North
Dakota early this morning. Fog has been slow to move much further
southwest, but has had little trouble overtaking the James Valley.
Extended the Dense Fog Advisory further south into LaMoure and
Dickey Counties this morning. There is some indication by the HRRR that
Logan and McIntosh Counties could see the dense fog within the
next few hours. So far any westward movement has been slow, so
will leave them out of the advisory for now. Fog is expected to
hang on through much of the morning across portions of central
North Dakota.

Light rain is expected to develop across western North Dakota
today as another upper level wave moves out of eastern Montana.
Light rain may slowly move into north central North Dakota later
today.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 336 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

A mild and active pattern continues through the long term. The
next chance for rain arrives Thursday night through Saturday. At
this time models are indicating as much as a quarter inch of rain
is possible across northern North Dakota.

Otherwise the main story will be temperatures. Wednesday and
Thursday will be warm...with some 70s possible Thursday out west.
Friday through the weekend temperatures fall back into the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Areas of fog continue in the vicinity of teh stationary front
across portions of northwest, central and southeast North Dakota
where visibilities are VLIFR at KJMS. Otherwise IFR KISN-KMOT. VFR
KDIK-KBIS and becoming VFR KJMS after 15z.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ this morning for
NDZ001-002-010-019-021>023-025-036-037-048-051.

&&

$$

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...WAA



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