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000
FNUS51 KBUF 132034
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Deep low pressure will continue withdrawing northward across
northern Quebec through this evening. This will allow lingering rain
and higher elevation wet snow across north central New York to taper
off...while winds continue to slowly diminish from west to east.
High pressure will then cross the area tonight and bring a brief
interlude of dry weather and lighter winds...before a compact and
fast-moving area of low pressure crosses the area on Sunday and
brings a round of widespread showers along with a few thunderstorms.
In the wake of this system...high pressure will build in Sunday
night and bring a return to drier weather that will then last
through Tuesday.

NYZ201-140800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
433 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90           70            0
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers         None
Min/Max Temp                       35           59           38           57
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  6                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                    W 14        SW  8        NW  6         W  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.28         0.07         0.00
Precip duration                                  8            1
Precip begin                                  6 AM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing         8 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60          100           43
Haines Index                        3            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            3            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         3290           70         7110
Transport wind (kt)              W 33         S 15        NW 15         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2310        49350         1050       156420
Dispersion Index                    2           49            1          156
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-140800-
Southern Tier-
433 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90           80            0
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       36           64           40           60
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  8                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                    W 14        SW 14         W  9         W 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.19         0.10         0.00
Precip duration                                  5            2
Precip begin                                  8 AM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing        10 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               87           50          100           38
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         4490           70         7180
Transport wind (kt)              W 31         W 30        NW 14         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2170       134700          980       143600
Dispersion Index                    2          135            1          144
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southeast around 15 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$