Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
000
FXUS64 KCRP 171135
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
635 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 304 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Vigorous shortwave passing across the region early this morning with
several areas of thunderstorms. This activity will continue off to
the northeast. Additional isolated activity will remain possible
behind the main area of storms through the morning hours. By mid-
day we`re looking at mainly 20-30 PoPs and decreasing through the
afternoon after the cold front pushes through the region. Despite
the mid-day frontal passage today, it`ll take until tomorrow before
we really see a decrease in moisture through the area when
reinforcing ridging pushes down from the north. We`ll see persistent
low cloud cover today that will keep high temperatures generally in
the 70s. Expect overnight lows tonight in the upper 50s and lower
60s. As that reinforcing ridge comes in tomorrow, we`ll see a
breezy northeast wind develop and temperatures likely remaining in
the 60s throughout the day.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 304 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Through mid-week a mid/upper level low will be stationed over the SW
US and keep pacific moisture streaming overhead to keep us under
persistent cloud cover. Despite the cloud cover, overnight lows
may reach "chilly" criteria with lows in the upper 40s north
Monday night and around 50 Tuesday night. The rest of the area
will be in the lower to mid 50s both nights. High temperatures will
once again be mainly in the 60s for Tuesday. After a dry Monday
and Tuesday, rain chances return for Wednesday into Thursday ahead
of the next cold front. At this time rainfall probabilities are
mainly in the 20-30% range but could be a bit higher Thursday near
the coast. Rainfall totals generally less than an inch through
the mid-week period. The aforementioned low finally kicks out mid
week with dry and warming conditions expected for the latter part
of the week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
A mixed bag of flight conditions again this morning as some
eastern sites have broken out of their low CIGS in the wake of
overnight convection. Expect a return to at least MVFR if not at
times IFR CIGS today. Will keep VCSH/VCTS mentions through much of
the day with low pops and low confidence of timing at any given
location. This can be amended as convection develops and becomes
more clear. A cold front will push through during the day with
northerly winds behind it. Winds remain light to moderate until
late in the period when reinforcing high pressure moves in with
increasing winds behind it.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 304 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024
Weak onshore flow this morning will become more northeasterly this
afternoon with the passage of a cold front. Patchy to areas of
fog, mostly with visibilities of 1 to 3 miles is expected through
this morning and should improve this afternoon. Expect off and on
showers and storms today. Winds increase late tonight into Monday
and small craft advisories will likely be needed. A transition to
weak to moderate onshore flow is expected Tuesday. Generally weak
to moderate onshore flow and increasing moisture are expected
Tuesday through Thursday. Isolated to scattered showers are
expected Wednesday into Thursday ahead of the next cold front.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 78 62 70 55 / 30 20 10 0
Victoria 75 58 69 47 / 30 10 0 0
Laredo 76 61 66 56 / 30 30 50 10
Alice 76 60 70 53 / 40 20 20 0
Rockport 76 61 71 55 / 30 20 10 0
Cotulla 73 59 68 54 / 40 30 20 0
Kingsville 77 61 69 54 / 30 10 20 0
Navy Corpus 74 63 71 58 / 40 20 10 0
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...NP
LONG TERM....PH
AVIATION...PH/83