Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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817
FNUS22 KWNS 011959
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0258 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

Trimmed the northeastern extent of the Elevated area across eastern
New Mexico based on forecast frontal position. Otherwise, no changes
are necessary. See previous forecast discussion below.

..Bentley.. 05/01/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CDT Wed May 01 2024/

...Synopsis...
Northwesterly flow is expected to strengthen across New Mexico on
Thursday, as a lee cyclone develops in the southern High Plains.
Sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected with relative humidity
in the single digits. Deterministic guidance varies on how
widespread any critical wind speeds will be. This leads to low
confidence in including a Critical area with this outlook, but will
be monitored for future outlook updates. For now, Elevated to
locally Critical fire weather conditions are expected on Thursday.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$