Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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516
FNUS22 KWNS 101725
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

Minor modifications were made to the Elevated area based on the
latest forecast guidance. Additionally, isolated dry thunderstorms
may develop over and near eastern portions of the Elevated area.
However, the probability of dry thunderstorms is low and confined to
a narrow corridor in south-central New Mexico, which precludes
introducing an Iso DryT area at this time. Otherwise, the previous
outlook remains on track.

..Nauslar.. 05/10/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic as a second
mid-level trough ejects into the Southern Plains tomorrow
(Saturday). Surface high pressure will become established over the
eastern U.S., promoting cool conditions while potentially
appreciable rainfall occurs over the southern High Plains. As such,
wildfire-spread concerns will be limited across most of the CONUS.
Guidance consensus does suggest that 15+ mph sustained westerly
surface winds will overspread 10-20 percent RH along the southern
Arizona and New Mexico border area during the afternoon, where
Elevated highlights have been introduced. Otherwise, locally dry or
breezy conditions may prevail over the northern Plains or Florida
Peninsula, where localized wildfire-spread potential may exist.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$