Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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285
WUUS02 KWNS 161727
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2024

VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   27039656 27179801 27449840 27779833 28669711 29639509
       30569423 31429240 32198945 33008764 33458595 33278403
       32338169 32098142 31878158 31558235 31198334 30658348
       29778310 29298310 28698351
0.05   28899357 29609342 30029309 30419165 31069068 31858798
       31928740 32368669 32488620 32488521 32358456 31938427
       31358457 29358668
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   27189665 26789833 26769918 27269945 27469956 29050061
       29600113 30030118 30180074 30079886 29769683 30069624
       30619481 31099395 31649378 32079504 32139626 32369707
       32759733 33059746 33979723 34489663 34889596 35269520
       35509365 35349208 34619073 34029033 33268992 32898888
       33268733 33388567 33128389 32488179 32238160 31888196
       31458246 30868481 29298558
0.05   46760193 47640052 48319898 48069841 47439838 46699883
       45899999 45560072 45430135 45500185 46150205 46760193
0.15   27739633 27199774 27029879 27299893 27609905 27969865
       28709748 29789482 30309354 31069197 31898879 31948742
       31028746 30508750 29588773
SIGN   27079869 27659890 27979858 28719734 29489562 30309341
       31049195 31279092 31628974 31188932 30038982 29699040
       29559115 29789309 29449435 29019495 28679539 27989666
       27549710 27269766 27159831 27079869
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49309400 47799578 45599845 44440027 43960253 43950315
       44210455 44820560 45560545 46260473 47330279 48410149
       49709979
0.05   26929657 26869830 27099891 27899939 28820044 29630113
       30060119 30200057 29889928 29359719 30489465 31079398
       31669387 32059500 32129551 32109641 32739719 33349720
       34429672 35289521 35739322 35629216 34368943 33888669
       33228523 32968354 32298141 31928107 31588125 31158173
       30608341 29288434
0.15   27609546 27549691 27969733 28299721 28669670 30529319
       31849037 31898898 32028801 32258688 32498575 32348447
       31918421 31588448 30458578 29478615
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   27569638 27549682 27199774 27029879 27609905 27969865
       28709748 30199382 31849037 31898898 32028801 32258686
       32488620 32488521 32348447 31918421 31358457 30078593
       29598611
MRGL   26929666 26769918 28910052 29600113 30060119 30200057
       30079886 29769683 30619481 31079398 31669387 32059500
       32079646 32369707 33059746 33979723 34489663 35289521
       35739322 35629216 34368943 33888669 33438568 33278403
       32298141 31928107 31588125 31158173 30568344 29778310
       29298310 28698351
MRGL   49219410 45599845 44440027 43960253 43950315 44210455
       44820560 45560545 46260473 47330279 49490007
TSTM   30650622 31630596 33000578 33240514 32320415 32270305
       33670103 34359990 35629915 36319825 37099627 37859377
       40358910 41878696 43058560 44348455 45478398 46688331
       99999999 48618982 47478836 46228771 45328882 44679202
       44069782 43480158 42940379 43110562 43960804 44501004
       45641051 46111079 46701305 47471573 47961704 49521870
       99999999 44797630 42247688 40157794 37617834 36507801
       35147762 33847636 99999999 30118064 29938173 29128189
       28498224 27598323

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ESE
CRP 45 ESE CRP 40 SSE ALI 55 SE LRD 25 E LRD 40 WNW ALI 25 NNE NIR
20 NE BPT 45 N MCB 35 SSW MEI 50 ESE MEI 10 SE SEM 20 NE MGM 15 SE
AUO 30 ESE CSG 25 N ABY 25 WSW ABY 20 SW PFN 50 SSW PFN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SE
CRP 55 SSE LRD 40 SE DRT 20 NW DRT 50 NNW DRT 55 WSW JCT 45 NNW SAT
65 SSW CLL 40 ESE UTS 45 ESE LFK 45 W IER 30 SW GGG CRS 35 SSW DAL
15 NNW FTW 25 SSW ADM 25 ENE ADM 30 SSE MKO 35 NNW RUE 30 WSW BVX
UOX 20 N BHM 15 SE ANB 35 SE ATL 15 NW SAV 15 SSE SAV 30 NNE SSI 15
W SSI 20 SSW VLD 10 N CTY 25 S CTY 70 SSW CTY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW
INL 10 N ABR PIR 25 ESE RAP 10 SW RAP 50 E GCC 35 N GCC 10 NNW 4BQ
25 WSW BHK 35 N DIK 100 NNE MOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S ELP 25 ESE ELP
20 ENE ALM 30 SE SRR CNM 30 SSE HOB 45 E LBB 25 ESE CDS 20 N CSM 20
W END 25 NNW BVO 50 NNW SGF 10 SW BMI 30 N VPZ 15 NNW GRR HTL 35 NW
APN 55 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 65 NNE GNA 20 NNE CMX 25 SSW MQT 40 SE RHI
30 WSW EAU 25 NNE MHE 40 S PHP 35 WNW CDR 30 NNW DGW WRL 50 W COD
LVM 30 NE BZN 3DU 20 WSW 3TH 30 NE GEG 80 NNE OMK ...CONT... 55 NNW
ART ELM 20 ESE AOO 35 S CHO 15 S AVC 20 N OAJ 95 ESE ILM ...CONT...
40 ENE SGJ 25 W SGJ 20 E OCF 45 S OCF 40 SW PIE.