Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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553
FXUS63 KFGF 270751
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
251 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

The presence of the upper wave can be seen with the circulation
from radar imagery. General trend will be a slow progression
eastward of the associated showers. High pressure and a drier
airmass nudges into the region today. Expect a cooler and less
humid airmass along with dry weather. Guidance indicates activity
approaching from the west will dissipate before it reaches eastern
North Dakota.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

Thursday-Friday...Seasonable/dry airmass with low level ridging.
Very weak flow will lead to mostly dry weather and will not
include PoPs this period. With that said would not be surprised to
see an isolated storm (given evapotranspiration)...but
probability is very low for any one location.

Saturday-Tuesday...Models in general agreement again this run.
Surface high pressure retreats with return of southerly flow
bringing warmer air to the region...and a return to higher
humidity. Corresponding upper ridge amplification indicative of
return to much warmer temps. Highs are still looking to increase
into the upper 80s...and low 90s can be expected in the
southernmost part of the area. Otherwise...showers or storms can
not be ruled out through the period as a series of impulses
propagate through the flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1136 PM CDT Tue Jul 26 2016

VFR with light winds into Wednesday morning. Scattering of showers
Fargo area thru the overnight as well as near GFK and BJI. Cloud
bases VFR with the exception of isolated areas of MVFR cigs.
North wind 5 to 15 kts on Wednesday behind this system with a good
deal of sun and scattered mid or high clouds.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...TG/Hopkins
AVIATION...Riddle



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