Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 160249

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
949 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Issued at 949 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Temperatures are falling through the 30s and low 40s. Will
continue to keep lows in the upper 20s and 30s, with no big
changes to the going forecast.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

All echoes on radar have dried up now, with just some lingering
cloud cover across the area. These clouds will move to the east
tonight along with decreasing winds. Clearing skies and light
winds means another chilly night for the area, but not as cold as
this morning. There may also be some local pockets of fog, but
confidence in picking them out is pretty low. Return to nicer
weather starts Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Overall dry period expected for the work week as a seasonally dry
airmasses work across the region. The warmest days, with highs 10 to
15 degrees above normal, in the 70s possibly, on Tuesday and again
Thursday and Friday will feature favorable west or southwest SFC
winds mixing down warmer air aloft. Cooler Wednesday with the
passage of a short wave across the Canadian Prairies and a wind
shift to the northwest bringing temps into the 50s and low 60s,
still above normal.

Next rain chances confined to the end of the period with fast moving
500mb trough expected Saturday night into Sunday. Currently amounts
appear minimal, generally less than a half inch per GEFS ensembles,
with upper support well north in Canadian and to the south the
central plains.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 708 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Mid level clouds will continue to move east and clear out after
06Z. Conditions will remain VFR throughout the period. West to
southwest winds will decrease a bit overnight, then increase again
tomorrow morning to the 10 to 15 kt range with higher gusts.




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