Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 282345
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
645 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

LIGHT WINDS OVER NORTHWEST MN AND EASTERN ND SHOULD PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY EVENING WITH SOME GUSTS INTO THE TEENS...BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER CENTRAL MN
ATTM LOOKS TO BE DECREASING A BIT AS THE MAIN SURFACE LOW IN FAR
SOUTHEAST MN FILLS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL SHIFT TO
TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD TRENDS. OVERALL NOT EXPECTING TOO MUCH
CHANGE FROM DAY TO DAY. AS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...MOST PLACES ARE
SEEING CLOUDS WITH SOME BREAKS OF SUN. NORTHEAST WINDS BECAME
FAIRLY BREEZY AGAIN. THESE WINDS WILL DIE DOWN TONIGHT WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT FRI MORNING BUT WILL PICK
UP AGAIN BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP ANY PCPN IN THE SAT/SUN TIME FRAME SOUTH
OF THE FA. PREVIOUS SHIFT ALREADY REMOVED ANY CHANCE FOR PCPN IN
THE SOUTH DURING THIS TIME FRAME...SO NO CHANGES NEEDED THERE.
SHOULD SEE A LITTLE LESS CLOUD COVER...OTHERWISE NOT MUCH CHANGE
FROM DAY TO DAY.

MONDAY TO THURSDAY... THE DRY WEATHER PATTERN OF LATE CONTINUES WITH
SPLIT FLOW ALOFT AND SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. ONLY PCPN IN THE FORECAST WILL BE FOR NW
MN ON MONDAY AFTN WITH A WEAK WAVE MOVING THROUGH IN NW FLOW ALOFT.
AFTER THAT TEMPS DEPEND ON PLACEMENT OF UPPER RIDGING...12Z EC
STRONGER AND FARTHER EAST WITH THE RIDGING THAN THE 12Z GFS FOR MID
WEEK. AS A RESULT TEMPS WILL RANGE AT TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FIRST
COUPLE DAYS AND TREND DOWN TO AT OR JUST BLO NORMAL FOR WED AND
THURS...NORMAL ARE MID 60S FOR HIGHS AND LOWS AROUND 40.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE FA...WITH LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST
BLAYER WINDS...SLOWLY DIMINISHING THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THEN EXPECT
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WITH FAIR SKIES DURING THE MORNING
HOURS.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...GUST
SHORT TERM...GODON
LONG TERM...GODON/JK
AVIATION...GUST


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