Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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152 FXUS65 KFGZ 021717 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 1017 AM MST Thu May 2 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Warm, dry and locally breezy conditions continue through the end of the week. More unsettled weather and strong winds will impact the area this weekend and into the start of next week. && .DISCUSSION...A fair and mild day is expected today, with generally light southwest winds. A few areas may gust up around 20 mph in the high country, but nothing impactful. Similar conditions on Friday with maybe a bit more wind, then, things start to turn windy over the weekend as a strong trough impacts the west. All details are covered well, no short term updates are needed. && .AVIATION...Thursday 02/18Z through Friday 03/18Z...VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period, with isolated high clouds after 21Z. Look for W-SW winds 10-15 kts, gusting near 20 kts throughout the afternoon. Lighter winds return after 06Z. OUTLOOK...Friday 03/18Z through Sunday 05/18Z...VFR conditions will persist through the outlook period, with increasing cloud cover expected on Sunday. W-SW winds of 5-15 kts forecast for Friday, before gusty winds return over the weekend. Wind gusts 25-35 kts possible on Saturday, becoming 40-50 kts on Sunday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Mild temperatures and dry conditions. Winds west-southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with afternoon minimum RH around 10-20%. Saturday through Monday...Cooling temperatures, with mainly dry conditions outside of stray shower on Sunday over the high terrain. Southwest winds gusting 30 to 40 mph on Saturday, then increasing to 50 to 60 mph on Sunday. Near critical fire weather conditions are likely from the Little Colorado River Valley into the Chinle Valley and Chuska Mountains. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Peterson AVIATION...Konieczny FIRE WEATHER...Humphreys For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff