Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Portland, ME
Issued by NWS Portland, ME
461
FNUS71 KGYX 061357
FWSGYX
Spot Forecast for Crawford Golf Course...USFS
National Weather Service Gray ME
957 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
An area of light rain showers will push across northern and
central New Hampshire this morning but should be to the east of
the burn location by 11AM to Noon. The rest of the day should be
mostly dry although a brief light shower or two may develop along
a cold front this afternoon. Surface winds will be out of the
north to northwest today with gusts of 20 to 25 mph this
afternoon. Dispersion will also improve by this afternoon as
mixing heights and transport winds increase. RH is only expected
to drop into the upper 50s by this afternoon with strong recovery
tonight. Tuesday will be mostly sunny and dry with good mixing and
RH falling into the mid 40s by the afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely late in the morning.
CWR.................19 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Dewpoint............49 decreasing to 46 late in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...61.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph increasing to around
9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 18 mph in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (77700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 increasing to 27 early in the afternoon, then
increasing to 52 early in the afternoon
increasing to 72 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 59.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........71 50 50 50
Weather cov.....LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO
CWR.............20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............53 56 59 60
Dewpoint........50 51 51 48
RH..............89 83 75 64
Aparnt tmp (F)..53 56 59 60
20 ft wind......N 8 NW 9 NW 10 NW 12
20 ft wind gust.15 16 20 20
Mix hgt (ft)....600 2200 4900 4600
Transport wind..W 5 W 10 W 18 W 17
LVORI...........6 4 3 1
ADI.............4 27 75 69
Haines index....3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 21 78 69
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................19 percent decreasing to 0 percent early in the
evening.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Dewpoint............44 decreasing to 39 overnight.
Min apparent temp...36.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (34500 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................49 decreasing to 7.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or low potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........41 41 41 42 42 42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............20 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............59 55 49 47 45 43
Dewpoint........46 45 43 41 40 38
RH..............62 69 80 79 82 82
Aparnt tmp (F)..59 55 46 43 40 37
20 ft wind......NW 10 N 6 N 8 N 9 NW 10 NW 10
20 ft wind gust.18 16 18 17 18 17
Mix hgt (ft)....3100 400 300 200 200 200
Transport wind..W 13 W 8 NW 7 NW 8 NW 9 NW 6
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 4 4
ADI.............49 5 6 7 8 5
Haines index....3 4 3 3 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35 3 2 2 2 1
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............39.
Min apparent temp...38.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (81700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3 in the morning and early afternoon.
ADI.................11 increasing to 71.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth to or low potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........24 24 24 14 14 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............44 47 52 55 58 59
Dewpoint........38 40 39 38 38 38
RH..............79 76 61 53 47 45
Aparnt tmp (F)..38 42 52 55 58 59
20 ft wind......NW 10 NW 12 NW 13 NW 15 NW 15 NW 16
20 ft wind gust.21 21 24 26 28 28
Mix hgt (ft)....1100 2900 4100 4900 5200 4800
Transport wind..NW 8 NW 14 NW 16 NW 17 NW 17 NW 20
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 M M
ADI.............11 43 61 71 M M
Haines index....2 2 2 2 3 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 35 60 74 77 82
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
$$
Forecaster...COMBS
Requested by...Dan Nielsen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413254.0/GYX
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.nielsen2@usda.gov