Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 020955
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
555 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

...Low Humidity and Near Record Highs on Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...

Very warm today with near-record high temperatures in the upper
80s to near 90. Relative humidity values will fall toward 25
percent this afternoon, paired with wind at 10 mph or less.
Showers and thunderstorms enter the forecast starting mid-morning
Friday, with chances lingering at times into the middle of next
week.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-022015-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
555 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            50
Precip type           None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      85-88 (+6)   52-66 (+12)  79-82
Rh % (24H TREND)      21-39 (+3)   63-100 (+6)  35-62
20ftwnd-AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   SW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)    3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8300                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SW 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)     58100                     39000
ADI Early             55           2            56
ADI Late              80           4            27
Max LVORI Early       6            3            4
Max LVORI Late        2            5            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-022015-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
555 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60
Precip type           None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   54-66 (+12)  78-81
Rh % (24H TREND)      23-36 (0)    63-100 (+6)  43-64
20ftwnd-AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   S 4-8
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 2-6        Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    8 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)    4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8500                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      S 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)     68000                     50400
ADI Early             75           2            40
ADI Late              98           5            63
Max LVORI Early       6            3            4
Max LVORI Late        2            5            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ079-083-022015-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
555 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70
Precip type           None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      85-88 (+5)   61-66 (+9)   76-79
Rh % (24H TREND)      27-38 (+4)   68-90 (-4)   54-69
20ftwnd-AM(mph)       SE 2-6                    S 4-8
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 3-7        Lgt/Var      SW 5-9
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.23
LAL                   1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)    4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    8400                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)     75600                     51600
ADI Early             75           3            44
ADI Late              101          6            54
Max LVORI Early       6            3            4
Max LVORI Late        2            4            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-022015-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
555 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip type           None         None         tstms
Temp (24H TREND)      86-89 (+7)   48-66 (+14)  80-85
Rh % (24H TREND)      21-31 (-7)   63-100 (+5)  35-50
20ftwnd-AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW 3-7
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            3
Haines Index (MID)    4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    9200                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      SW 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)     55200                     60000
ADI Early             66           2            83
ADI Late              81           4            76
Max LVORI Early       6            3            5
Max LVORI Late        2            6            3

Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.


$$