039
FNUS72 KMLB 272038
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Palm Bay Annex Brush Fire...Palm Bay FR
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
438 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Isolated showers remain possible through the evening, though
current radar trends suggest a period of little to no shower
activity after 5 PM. Gusty and erratic winds possible near
showers. Otherwise, winds easterly at 15-20 mph with gusts up to
25 mph through the evening and into the overnight, diminish a bit
to 10-15 mph around 4 AM. Overnight fog is not forecast. Winds
generally remain easterly 10-15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
Sunday, but could periodically increase above 15 mph with gusts up
to 25 mph in the afternoon. Excellent smoke dispersion this
afternoon becomes Fair overnight, then Very Good to Excellent
Sunday.


Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Dispersion index....82.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........52
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20
LAL.............1
Temp............79
RH..............62
20 FT wind dir..E
20 FT wind spd..17
20 FT wind gust.23
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5
Transp wind dir.E
Transp wind spd.21
Dispersion idx..82
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 19 early in the evening.
LVORI...............Increasing to 4 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........55     59     61     71     73     64
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............77     72     70     70     69     67
RH..............64     73     78     76     76     75
20 ft wind......E 16   E 15   E 15   E 15   E 14   E 12
20 ft wind gust.22     21     21     21     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   1200   500    400    500    500
Transport wind..E 21   E 20   E 21   E 20   E 17   E 18
Dispersion idx..76     20     20     19     18     17
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      4      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......800-1500 ft AGL increasing to 4800-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 67.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 1 in the late morning and
afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........65     49     36     45     41     32
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     70     75     79     80     80
RH..............75     71     62     52     51     51
20 ft wind......E 12   E 10   E 13   E 15   E 15   E 15
20 ft wind gust.16     14     17     21     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....500    3100   4900   4800   5100   4900
Transport wind..E 18   E 17   E 17   E 17   E 16   E 17
Dispersion idx..16     49     70     71     67     68
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Brandon Mckee
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412614.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.mckee@palmbayflorida.org