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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

000
FNUS72 KMLB 091205
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Blue Spring State Park_BSP-15a and 07a...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
805 AM EDT Tue Apr 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure settles over the western Atlantic today promoting southeast
winds and dry conditions at the burn site. Winds increase near 15 mph
this afternoon, gusting around 20 mph. Min RH remains above critical
values, falling just below 45 percent. Very good smoke dispersion is forecast.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 79 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 65 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  67  58  50  47  47  33  35  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  71  75  78  80  81  82  83  81
RH..............78  71  62  56  51  48  46  44  47
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   12  13  12  13  13  12  13
20 FT wind gust.14  16  21  21  21  21  22  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 3.6 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  18  18  17  17  16  16  16  15
Dispersion idx..41  80  77  67  68  67  65  65  62
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....59 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 4 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........37     35     45     49     70     72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............80     73     69     68     67     66
RH..............49     65     76     78     81     84
20 ft wind......SE 13  SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.21     21     15     14     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   700    600    600    600    500
Transport wind..SE 16  SE 14  SE 14  SE 13  SE 13  SE 10
Dispersion idx..59     9      12     8      8      6
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 71 late in the morning decreasing
to 58.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........62        60        56        47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............64        70        80        85
RH..............90        78        54        46
20 FT wind......SE 6G12   SE 10G14  SE 14G18  SE 14G18
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1800      4600      4700
Transport wind..SE 9      SE 14     SE 18     SE 15
Dispersion idx..6         33        74        62
LVORI...........6         3         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Dustin Allen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410036.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Dustin.L.Allen@FloridaDEP.gov